Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 1.582826 1.828616 2.098971 2.418280 2.785006 3.192923 3.681033
2025-04-13 1.143796 1.439760 1.793050 2.245431 2.808997 3.487705 4.367100
2025-04-20 0.937500 1.271773 1.700236 2.288749 3.075339 4.089803 5.497341
2025-04-27 0.805101 1.167771 1.663132 2.387413 3.417869 4.829931 6.911246
2025-05-04 0.687359 1.059529 1.598033 2.431238 3.685451 5.500595 8.325472
2025-05-11 0.589230 0.960377 1.526496 2.448918 3.910679 6.133870 9.768757
2025-05-18 0.492300 0.845167 1.410458 2.376809 3.982838 6.540067 10.915751
2025-05-25 0.406174 0.732062 1.278629 2.255787 3.953407 6.774199 11.809133
2025-06-01 0.355792 0.670835 1.222124 2.249406 4.108629 7.321627 13.283804
2025-06-08 0.307955 0.606055 1.149131 2.201616 4.181593 7.732444 14.567394
2025-06-15 0.290525 0.594807 1.170104 2.326043 4.579335 8.760051 17.082081
2025-06-22 0.266875 0.567590 1.156801 2.382507 4.854664 9.593214 19.333414
2025-06-29 0.238713 0.528005 1.116041 2.383724 5.031589 10.279038 21.425636
2025-07-06 0.202323 0.465371 1.019987 2.258828 4.937972 10.425966 22.469357
2025-07-13 0.188174 0.448897 1.017647 2.330676 5.263352 11.457660 25.467030
2025-07-20 0.179040 0.442280 1.035524 2.448957 5.704535 12.784580 29.263142
2025-07-27 0.166135 0.424717 1.026379 2.504849 6.014346 13.867531 32.664791
2025-08-03 0.152577 0.403343 1.005292 2.529698 6.255893 14.828530 35.913820
2025-08-10 0.134948 0.368841 0.947968 2.459140 6.262034 15.255011 37.978215
2025-08-17 0.116804 0.329933 0.874022 2.336226 6.122677 15.321803 39.188531
2025-08-24 0.106753 0.311050 0.847824 2.330947 6.276250 16.107368 42.254185
2025-08-31 0.095828 0.287944 0.807306 2.282240 6.311394 16.605740 44.662229
2025-09-07 0.093517 0.289041 0.831603 2.411618 6.833961 18.393969 50.610857